Dylan Simon -- Colliers International
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Dylan Simon -- Colliers International
I specialize in the sale of apartment buildings in Seattle and the greater Puget Sound region. I focus on the sale of both apartment buildings and developable land ranging from $3M to $100M. I am passionate about real estate investment and development, economics, technology and urbanism. Through brokerage I assist apartment investors and developers in achieving the highest possible levels of return and build an advisory relationship that lasts ownership life-cycles instead of just a transaction.
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Economy Watch: Business Economists Expect Slowdown

Economy Watch: Business Economists Expect Slowdown | Dylan Simon -- Colliers International | Scoop.it
Dylan Simon's insight:

"The salient prediction: half of the respondents expect the next recession will occur sometime between the fourth quarter of 2019 and the second quarter of 2020. One-third suggests a later time, after the fourth quarter of 2020."

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Economy Watch: Employment Up by 223K Jobs in May

Economy Watch: Employment Up by 223K Jobs in May | Dylan Simon -- Colliers International | Scoop.it
Dylan Simon's insight:

Increases in job creation signal positive impacts on demand for commercial real estate at this stage in the market cycle: “Total payroll employment increased by 223,000 jobs in May, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Friday, beating the average of the previous 12 months, which was an increase of 191,000 and up from 164,000 in April.”

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US Treasury yields plunge on Italy fears

US Treasury yields plunge on Italy fears | Dylan Simon -- Colliers International | Scoop.it
Treasury yields plunged by the most since Brexit on Tuesday as Italy’s political crisis spurred investors to seek out the safety of US government debt and ratchet down the odds of Federal Reserve rate hikes.
Dylan Simon's insight:

"There is now a nearly 30 per cent chance the US central bank shelves a June rate increase, which last week looked like a certainty, according to probabilities derived from Fed funds futures. The turbulence also casts doubt on whether the Fed will raise interest rates three times this year, as it predicted in December. So far, the Fed has raised rates once in 2018."

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Seattle DJC.com local business news and data - Architecture & Engineering - Durkan to fast-track backyard cottages

Dylan Simon's insight:

"Seattle will fast-track preapproved designs for detached accessory dwelling units (DADUs) and hire architects to develop several standard architectural plans for backyard cottages that could be built and permitted more quickly and at a lower cost."

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Yardi: Multifamily Rent Growth Stays Strong in April | Multifamily Executive Magazine | Rents, Rent Trends, Apartment Trends, Supply and Demand, Economic Conditions, Economics, Rent Growth, Rental ...

Yardi: Multifamily Rent Growth Stays Strong in April | Multifamily Executive Magazine | Rents, Rent Trends, Apartment Trends, Supply and Demand, Economic Conditions, Economics, Rent Growth, Rental ... | Dylan Simon -- Colliers International | Scoop.it
Dylan Simon's insight:

"Gains in high-growth Western tech markets, including San Jose, Calif.; Seattle; Denver; and San Francisco, were at above-trend levels in the latest three-month period following a longtime deceleration trend from 2015 to 2017.

 

On a trailing three-month (T-3) basis, which compares the past three months to the previous three months, rents increased by 0.3% at the national level. San Jose led the nation, with 0.7% rent growth on a T-3 basis, while Chicago, Denver, and Seattle bounced back at 0.4% after short-term rent declines in late 2017 to early 2018."

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Federal Reserve officials say economy is ready for higher interest rates

Federal Reserve officials say economy is ready for higher interest rates | Dylan Simon -- Colliers International | Scoop.it
Dylan Simon's insight:

"The Fed did not raise its benchmark interest rate at the meeting on Jan. 30 and 31, but the account reinforced investor expectations the Fed would raise rates at its next meeting in March….They said they intended to raise interest rates as the economy gains strength, and to seek to maintain public confidence in the 2 percent inflation target."

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Clark Construction Group Takes a Look at Defining Market Trends in the Year Ahead

Clark Construction Group Takes a Look at Defining Market Trends in the Year Ahead | Dylan Simon -- Colliers International | Scoop.it
All markets are hot. The Puget Sound construction market is well diversified. High-rise residential and office, healthcare, higher education, transportation, hospitality, and K-12 are all going strong. Local, National and foreign investors are all jumping on the Seattle bandwagon, and unlike typical markets where the general theme is cyclical change, this is not the current state in Seattle.
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Vulcan Expecting Busiest Year in History - The Registry

Vulcan Expecting Busiest Year in History - The Registry | Dylan Simon -- Colliers International | Scoop.it
Dylan Simon's insight:

"Where we are in the cycle is a million-dollar question. Nationally, we are in the 103rd month of expansion, and it’s been a long, slow recovery—it can’t go on forever, but I think we still have at least 18 months of tailwinds ahead." - Lori Mason Curran, Vulcan

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As Amazon Go makes its public debut, job postings point to future expansion

As Amazon Go makes its public debut, job postings point to future expansion | Dylan Simon -- Colliers International | Scoop.it
The first Amazon Go store is finally open to the public today, and it looks like Amazon is just getting started with the cashier-free convenience store…
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Editors’ Product Picks From IBS 2018

Editors’ Product Picks From IBS 2018 | Dylan Simon -- Colliers International | Scoop.it
These products stood out on the International Builders' Show floor this week as innovative solutions for the multifamily construction industry.
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Seattle is Zillow's third-hottest housing market in the U.S. for 2018 - Puget Sound Business Journal

Seattle is Zillow's third-hottest housing market in the U.S. for 2018 - Puget Sound Business Journal | Dylan Simon -- Colliers International | Scoop.it
Dylan Simon's insight:

There’s no denying Seattle is on fire – and tech is driving our #3 spot on Zillow’s list of the hottest US housing markets for 2018.

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Value of Seattle-area commercial construction starts drops more than half compared to last year

Value of Seattle-area commercial construction starts drops more than half compared to last year | Dylan Simon -- Colliers International | Scoop.it
Dylan Simon's insight:

The value of commercial starts may have dropped, but residential seems to be going strong: "On the residential side, however, the value of multifamily and single-family starts through April jumped 42 percent to just over $2.9 billion."

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Q1 Commercial Real Estate Deal Volume Hits $107 Billion, Representing Year-Over-Year Increase Of 6.7 Percent

Q1 Commercial Real Estate Deal Volume Hits $107 Billion, Representing Year-Over-Year Increase Of 6.7 Percent | Dylan Simon -- Colliers International | Scoop.it
Dylan Simon's insight:

“While some have anticipated the bottom falling out of the market for more than a year, Q1’s year-over-year uptick in deal volume suggests resilience in the commercial real estate sector.”

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Apartment Market Weathers the Storm of New Supply

Apartment Market Weathers the Storm of New Supply | Dylan Simon -- Colliers International | Scoop.it
Dylan Simon's insight:

"High occupancy rates are helping keep apartment rents high and rising. 'Rent growth—while below the cycle’s peaks—has outperformed many investors’ expectations,' says Willett. Same-property rents for new leases climbed 2.6 percent in first quarter compared to the year before. That’s about the same as the rate of rent growth has been over the last four quarters, according to RealPage."

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'Overheated' Seattle and S.F. will have highest U.S. construction cost increases in 2018, report says

'Overheated' Seattle and S.F. will have highest U.S. construction cost increases in 2018, report says | Dylan Simon -- Colliers International | Scoop.it
Seattle and San Francisco, two booming tech hubs, will see the fastest construction cost increases in the U.S. this year, according to a new report.
Dylan Simon's insight:

"Both cities will see costs rise by 5 percent, outpacing the expected 4.3 percent increase in the top 46 global markets, according to the company's annual International Construction Market Survey. The expected rate of cost escalation for San Francisco is unchanged from 2017, when it also rose 5 percent."

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The Apartment Sales Market Takes Off in Q1

The Apartment Sales Market Takes Off in Q1 | Dylan Simon -- Colliers International | Scoop.it
Dylan Simon's insight:

"After stumbling out of the gate in 2017, the apartment investment market posted a strong Q1, according to Real Capital Analytics (RCA), deal volume growing by 55 percent, year-over-year. Of the sectors tracked by RCA, the apartment sector, which saw 27 percent more activity than office, was the 'largest, most liquid' commercial group in Q1, RCA reports."

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Six Economists on the State of Commercial Real Estate in 2018

Six Economists on the State of Commercial Real Estate in 2018 | Dylan Simon -- Colliers International | Scoop.it
While there may be issues to keep an eye on—such as shifting consumer behavior and rising inflation and interest rates—the outlook remains positive.
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Yardi: Rents Rise 2.8% Year-Over-Year Through January 2018 | Multifamily Executive Magazine | Economic Conditions, Rents, Supply and Demand, Research, Occupancy and Vacancy Rate, Economics, Local M...

Yardi: Rents Rise 2.8% Year-Over-Year Through January 2018 | Multifamily Executive Magazine | Economic Conditions, Rents, Supply and Demand, Research, Occupancy and Vacancy Rate, Economics, Local M... | Dylan Simon -- Colliers International | Scoop.it
Matrix Monthly report predicts metro-level multifamily rent growth will trend toward the median in the coming year.
Dylan Simon's insight:

Hold out judgement on slowing rent growth for Spring! "YOY rent growth has remained between a high of 3.0% and a low of 2.4% in the past year, following two years of above-trend increases. Yardi expects rent growth to remain in the 2.5% range but believes the next few months will provide a better idea of rent trends for 2017, as rent-growth trends flatten during the winter."

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Multifamily Lending Expected to Hold Firm or Rise in '18

Multifamily Lending Expected to Hold Firm or Rise in '18 | Dylan Simon -- Colliers International | Scoop.it
Dylan Simon's insight:

Planning to buy? "74% of mortgage bankers expect to see no downturn in the multifamily lending space this year."

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Seattle area added 12,000 residential units in 2017—with a similar outlook for 2018

Seattle area added 12,000 residential units in 2017—with a similar outlook for 2018 | Dylan Simon -- Colliers International | Scoop.it
That’s 50 percent more than 2016
Dylan Simon's insight:

"Numbers compiled by Seattle in Progress show around 8,000 new units completed in the past year—around 7,500 if you only count multifamily development—in the Seattle city limits alone. More than 30,000 additional units have permits approved, and another 30,000 have applied."

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9 U.S. transportation projects to watch in 2018

9 U.S. transportation projects to watch in 2018 | Dylan Simon -- Colliers International | Scoop.it
Dylan Simon's insight:

Seattle isn't the only US city with major transit projects underway! Opportunities for commercial real estate will continue to parallel these efforts.

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Michelle Nipper's curator insight, January 19, 12:20 PM

Infrastructure is important in today's world.  What do you hope that the Portland Metro area will do?

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Foreign Investors Continue to Prefer Industrial Properties in 2018

Foreign Investors Continue to Prefer Industrial Properties in 2018 | Dylan Simon -- Colliers International | Scoop.it
Dylan Simon's insight:

Unexpected trends in housing preferences among Millennials have driven foreign investment in industrial properties:

“Industrial properties…suddenly seem like a no-brainer, with trends from e-commerce growth to omni-channel retailing to legalization of marijuana promising rising demand and growing rents, supported by a shortage of new construction for much of the current cycle.”

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